[SKYWARN_Announce] Severe Weather Coordination Message #1

[rmacedo at rcn.com]

Hello to all... 

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible today across potions of Southern New England particularly along and south of the Mass Pike anytime from 2-8 PM today. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Connecticut and Western Rhode Island in a marginal risk for severe weather and this marginal risk likely extends into portions of Southeast Massachusetts as well. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban/poor drainage flooding are the main threats.. 
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely today to monitor severe weather potential. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible depending on the coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms in the area.. 

Cooling temperatures aloft with an impulse in the atmosphere and sufficient wind shear profiles could set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in Southern New England particularly along and south of the Mass Pike. There should be a sufficient amount of instability but drier air and lower dewpoints moving in the northwest may limit more substantial coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms and is the reason why the main threat area across Southern New England is along and south of the Mass Pike currently. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking. 

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely today to monitor severe weather potential. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible depending on the coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms in the area. This will be the only full coordination message on this severe weather potential. A shortened coordination message will be sent if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook: 


NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook: 
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html 


NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook: 
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo 
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook: 
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html 


Respectfully Submitted, 

Robert Macedo (KD1CY) 
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator 
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator 
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM) 
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM) 
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM) 
Email Address: rmacedo at rcn.com 
http://ares.ema.arrl.org 
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